In simple figures what is the chance the HPV vaccine will cause an adverse problem?

by Rachel on January 17, 2011

and in simple math figures, what is the chance of a woman getting hpv in the us?

thanks
please dont reply by saying the risk is very small. I want figures.
yes thank you weise ente. thats what i wanted but thats even assuming that you scientists are right that hpv causes the cancer.

maybe you got that wrong like scientists were wrong about the earth being flat. ect.

{ 2 comments… read them below or add one }

FORGETIT January 17, 2011 at 5:37 pm

I can’t give you numbers. All I know is it gave two of my family members flu like symptoms. One was male and the other female.

Weise Ente January 17, 2011 at 6:11 pm

The incidence of HPV is about 1 in 10 to 9 in 10. The number is hard to figure given how the virus works but the vaccine doesn’t cover all strains to being with.

The cervical cancer rate is 7 in 100,000, with 70% caused by HPV16 and HPV18, so about 5 in 100,000. A third of those will die, so about 1.6 in 100,000.

In more than 32,000,000 doses given in the US, no deaths have been linked to the vaccine so far. Even assuming all reported deaths were actually linked to the vaccine in the VAERS database (and they aren’t), it would only be 0.175 in 100,000.

Even giving the opposing position a lot of help and ignoring a lot of other benefits, vaccination is still preferable.

Edit: We know that HPV causes cancer. We even know why some strains do and why some strains don’t. It has to do with how one viral protein deals with the tumor suppressor p53.

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